1. Methodology
The analysis covered a cohort of 2,340 probation service clients placed under supervision between 2019 and 2021, with reoffending tracked for three years from the end of supervision.
| Probation supervision | 24 |
| Financial penalty | 29 |
| Community service | 31 |
| Unsuspended prison sentence | 47 |
Figure 1: Comparison of reoffending. Source: UKSPJV own research.
2. Conclusion
The results confirm that community sanctions show markedly lower reoffending than an unsuspended custodial sentence, even after the risk profile of offenders is taken into account.